HIV prevalence is estimated in developing countries from HIV serologic data and estimates of annual new HIV infections (HIV incidence) and annual AIDS cases and deaths by modeling. Such modeling relies on accurate HIV prevalence estimates and on the median progression interval of about 8-9 years from HIV infection to AIDS and death.  A major error in modeling annual HIV incidence and AIDS is where on the HIV epidemic curve the current year is placed. When the current year is from 5 to 10 years past the peak HIV incidence period, annual HIV incidence will have been gradually decreasing and AIDS cases and deaths increasing until annual AIDS deaths become greater than annual HIV incidence.  In mid-2006, UNAIDS was forced to admit that globally, HIV incidence peaked by the late 1990s.  Virtually all global regions have been in the post-peak phase of their HIV epidemics for at least 6-7 years or longer and modeled annual HIV incidence and AIDS deaths should either be about equal or annual AIDS deaths should be greater than annual HIV incidence. This table presents UNAIDS’ 2006 estimates of annual HIV incidence and annual AIDS deaths in selected global regions. UNAIDS’ most current modeling of HIV incidence and AIDS deaths has apparently not placed the year 2006 at 5-10 years after the post-peak part of their HIV epidemic curves since its estimated annual HIV incidence continues to far exceed annual AIDS deaths.