This slide, showing the modeled annual HIV incidence curves in several sub-Saharan African (SSA) countries, is from an article by Jim Shelton and colleagues that was published in the Lancet in March, 2006 about whether the AIDS pandemic has peaked. A few months later, UNAIDS was forced, in their May 2006 report to the UN, to acknowledge that annual global HIV incidence probably peaked by the late 1990s. One wonders whether UNAIDS would have acknowledged the peaking of the AIDS pandemic if Jim Shelton and colleagues did not publish this article? I’m sure, if asked, UNAIDS would have said that they were just about getting around to it – even when the peaking clearly occurred during the 1990s!