Suppose we observe a philosopher.I will discuss principles of statistical
inference, dividing them into those which say that we should tentatively
conclude that we're in a swamp and those which say we should tentatively
conclude that we're in a seminar room.I will touch on the problem of including additional evidence
in this judgment.
I will draw conclusions on behalf of various well-defined groups
of philosophers, including Bayesians (of either of two sorts) and
those who accept the likelihood principle.