PV = Present Value of the growing
annuity
C = Initial cash flow
r = Interest rate
g = Growth rate
t = # of time periods
Example I:
Suppose you have just won the first prize in a lottery. The lottery offers you two possibilities for receiving your prize. The first possibility is to receive a payment of $10,000 at the end of the year, and then, for the next 15 years this payment will be repeated, but it will grow at a rate of 5%. The interest rate is 12% during the entire period. The second possibility is to receive $100,000 right now. Which of the two possibilities would you take?
Answer:
You want to compare the PV of the growing annuity to the PV of receiving $100,000 right now (which is, obviously just $100,000). So, here are the numbers:
C = $10,000
r = 0.12
g = 0.05
t = 16
PV = 10,000 [(1/0.07) - (1/0.07)*(1.05/1.12)16] = $91,989.41 < $100,000, therefore, you would prefer to be paid out right now.
Example II:
Assume the same situation as in Example I, but with the difference that you can now make a choice between receiving a payment of 10,000 at the end of year 1, which will then grow at 5% per year, and be paid out to you for the next 15 years. Or, you can receive $85,000 right now. What would you do?
Answer:
We know from Example I that the present value of the growing annuity is equal to $91,989.41. However, the annuity starts only at the end of year 1, and hence, we need to bring this value back one additional period before we can compare it to the $85,000 to received right now. Thus:
PV = $91,989.41 / (1.12) = $82,133.40
< 85,000, so we still prefer to be paid out immediately.
A growing perpetuity is the same
as a regular perpetuity (C/r), but just like we saw above, the cash flow
is growing (or declining) each year. A perpetuity has no limit to the number
of cash flows, it will go indefinitely. The growing perpetuity is
in that way just the same as a growing annuity with an extremely large
t.
PV = Present Value of the growing
perpetuity
C = Initial cash flow
r = Interest rate
g = Growth rate
Example I:
What would you be willing to pay (given that you could live forever, and hence could receive all the cash flows) for a preferred share of stock in the University of Pittsburgh, that promises you to pay a cash dividend to you at the end of the year of $25, which will increase every year by 1%, forever. The interest rate is fixed at 4.75%.
Answer:
PV = 25 / (0.0475 - 0.01) = $666.67
Example II:
What would you be willing to pay if the share of stock paid out its first $25 right now, and everything else being the same?
Answer:
PV = [(25 * 1.01) / (0.0475 - 0.01)] + 25 = $673.33 + $25 = $698.33