Capture-Recapture Methods

Applications in Drug Use


STUDY /RESEARCHERS METHOD / PURPOSE DATA SOURCE DESCRIPTION
Injecting Drug Use
(Mastro TD, et al. (1)
Capture-recapture
(Estimate population)
Methadone treatment records;
Police records.
This study estimated the number of injection drug users infected with HIV in Bangkok in 1991. Two sample capture-recapture method was employed.
Heroin Users
(Doscher ML, et al.(2))
Capture-recapture
(Estimate size of population)
Client oriented data acquisition process The applications of general log-linear model and its special case, capture-recapture methods, were conducted to estimate the size of subpopulations of heroin users. Because of the heterogeneous capture probabilities among heroin users, a post hoc stratification design was used.
Methicillin use
(Wittes J (3))
Multinomial capture-recapture
(Estimate size of population)
Reports form IV team;
Reports from floor nurses;
Hospital pharmacy;
Medication sheets.
A multinomial multiple recapture model was applied to estimate the patterns of utilization of methicillin in the Massachusetts General Hospital. Four sources were used to identify patients receiving methicillin.
Intravenous Drug Use
(Drucker E, et al. (4))
Capture-recapture
(Estimate size of population)
Narcotics Registry;
Previously identified addicts.
The numbers of intravenous drug users lived in New York City from 1970 to 1974 were estimated by capture recapture method.
Injecting Drug Use
(Frischer M, et al. (5))
Log-linear Model
(Adjust prevalence)
Treatment agencies;
HIV-test scheme;
Police sample.
The prevalence of injecting drug use in Glasgow, Scotland, during 1989 was estimated by collecting information from three separate sources and using log-linear modeling technique.
Intravenous Drug Use
(Perucci CA, et al (6))
Capture-recapture
(Estimate population size)
Drug addicts;
AIDS cases among IVDUs.
The annual average number of intravenous drug users aged 15-34 in Rome during a 2 year period (1987- 1988) was estimated by a 2-source capture-recapture method.
Opioid Dependence
(Hartnoll R, et al. (7))
Capture-recapture
(Estimate population)
Two data source. The total opioid-dependent population in Camden and Islington, United Kingdom in the period of 1970 to 1982 was estimated by comparing two data sources.
Injecting Drug Use
(Frischer M, et al. (8))
Log-linear model
(Estimate prevalence)
HIV test register;
Treatment agencies;
Police records;
Needle exchange.
Log-linear modeling was applied to estimate the population prevalence of injecting drug use and infection with HIV among injection drug users in Glasgow, Scotland in 1990.
Heroin Abuse
(Woodward JA, et al. (9))
Capture-recapture;
Log-linear model
(Estimate prevalence)
Heroin-related admissions to federally funded treatment programs during 3 specific time intervals. A log-linear-based capture-recapture method was simultaneously applied to 24 major metropolitan area in US to estimate the prevalence of heroin abuse.
Injecting Drug Use
(Kehoe L, et al. (10))
Capture-recapture Methadone service;
The Bourke Street drug advisory service;
The Albion Street Clinic.
The number of injecting drug users residing within the Eastern Sydney Area Health Service were obtained by applying capture-recapture method.
Drug misuse
(Hay G, McKeganey N(11))
Capture-recapture
(Estimate prevalence)
4 samples from both statutory and non-statutory data sources Four data sources were used to estimate the prevalence of drug misuse in dundee between January 1990 and December 1994. The estimated unknown populatin was 1702, giving a total population of 2557 (prevalence 28.8 per 1000).
Strong analgesics use
(Sorensen HT, et al(12))
Capture-Recapture
(Estimate completeness)
National Board of Health surveillance system;
Danish National Health Service drug prescription register
Two Danish population-based information systems on patients with strong analgesics use were evaluated. The capture-recapture method estimated that the completeness for the surveillance system was 96.9% and 97.5% for the National Health Service.
Drug misuse
(Squires NF, et al (13))
Log-linear model
(Estimate prevalence)
Information from Drug Dependency Units;
Infectious Diseases Unit;
Arrest records
Three-sample log-linear model was applied to determine the prevalence of opiate and cocaine misuse in the City of Liverpool in 1991. The estimated size of drug-using population was 2344 and a period prevalence was 5.2 per 1000. There was a negative interdependence between the police and Drug Dependency Unit databases.
Opiate addiction
(Domingo-Salvany A, et al. (14))
Capture-recapture
(Estimate prevalence)
Hospital emergency rooms;
treatment admissions;
and heroin overdose deaths
Log-linear model with three sources was used to estimate the prevalence of opiate addicts in Barcelona, Spain in 1989. The estimated prevalence for Barcelona in 1989 was between 8.5 and 9.9 opiate addicts per 1,000 residents aged 15-44 years.
Heroin users
(Larson A, et al. (15))
Capture-recapture
(Estimate prevalence)
Seeking treatment/counselling;
arrest on drug charge
Two-sample capture-recapture was used to estimate the number of heroin users in a small Australian city in 1988-1989. The method produced a stable estimate of 1250 heroin users.


Reference

  1. Mastro TD, Kitayaporn D, Weniger BG, Vanichseni S, Laosunthorn V, Uneklabh T, Uneklabh C, Choopanya K, Limpakarnjanarat K. Estimating the number of HIV-infected injection drug users in Bangkok: a capture-recapture method. Am J Public Health 1994;84(7):1094-9.

  2. Doscher ML and Woodward JA. Estimating the size of subpopulations of heroin users: Applications of log-linear models to capture-recapture sampling. Int J Addiction 1983;18:167-182.

  3. Wittes JT. Applications of a multinomial capture-recapture model to epidemiological data. JASA, 1974;69:93-97.

  4. Drucker E and Vermund SH. Estimating population prevalence of HIV infection in urban areas with high rates of intravenous drug use. Amer J. Epidemiology 1989;130(1):131-142.

  5. Frischer M, Bloor M, Finlay A, Goldberg D, Green S, Haw S, McKeganey N, Platt S. A new method of estimating prevalence of injecting drug use in an urban population: results from a Scottish city. Int J Epidemiology, 1991;20:997-1000.

  6. Perucci CA, Forastiere F, Rapiti E, Davoli M, Abeni DD. The impact of intravenous drug use on mortality of young adults in Rome, Italy. British Journal of Addiction 1992;87(12):1637- 41.

  7. Hartnoll R, Lewis R, Mitcheson M and Bryer S. Estimating the prevalence of opioid dependence. The Lancet 1985;203-5.

  8. Frischer M, Leyland A, Cormack R, Glodberg DJ, Bloor M, Green ST, Taylor A, Covell R, McKeganey N and Platt S. Estimating the population prevalence of injection drug use and infection with human immunodeficiency virus among injection drug users in Glasgow, Scotland. Am J Epid 1993;138:170-181.

  9. Woodward JA, Retka RL and Ng L. Construct validity of heroin abuse estimator. Int J of the Addictions 1984;19(1):93-117.

  10. Kehoe L, Hall W and Mant A. Estimates of the number of injecting drug users in a defined area. Aust J Public Health 1992;16(3):232-7.

  11. Hay G, McKeganey N. Estimating the prevalence of drug misuse in Dundee, Scotland: an application of capture-recapture methods. Journal of Epidemiology & Community Health 1996;50(4):469-72.

  12. Sorensen HT, Hansen I, Ejlersen E, Sabroe S, Hamburger H. Identification of patients treated with strong analgesics: an assessment of two Danish information systems with respect to epidemiological research. Journal of Medical Systems 1996;20(1):57-65.

  13. Squires NF, Beeching NJ, Schlecht BJ, Ruben SM. An estimate of the prevalence of drug misuse in Liverpool and a spatial analysis of known addiction. Journal of Public Health Medicine 1995;17(1):103-9.

  14. Domingo-Salvany A, Hartnoll RL, Maguire A, Suelves JM, Anto JM. Use of capture-recapture to estimate the prevalence of opiate addiction in Barcelona, Spain, 1989. AJE 1995;141(6):567-74.

  15. Larson A, Stevens A, Wardlaw G. Indirect estimates of "hidden" populations: capture-recapture methods to estimate the numbers of heroin users in the Australian Capital Territory. Social Science & Medicine 1994;39(6):823-31.