1. Given the this data, May 1985: NILF = 100m, E = 110m, U = 10m, answer the following:
a. If 5m teenagers (16 years or over) enter the labor force in June 1985 (LF = 5m) and 4m find employment, calculate the uer for May and June.
June: uer = U/(U + E) = 11m/(11m + 114m) = 0.088 = 8.8%
b. Calculate the LF (=labor force) and NILF for May and June.
June: LF = 114m + 11m = 125m; NILF = 100m - 5m = 95m
Table 1
Nominal
Real
GDP
Year
GDP
GDP Deflator
1981 $3055 $3250 94
1982 $3170 $3170 100
1983 $3410 $3280 104
1984
$3500
$3240.7 108
2. Complete Table 1. Show your work.
$3170 = (x/100)100, x = $3170
$3280 = ($3410/x)100, x = ($3410/$3280)100 = 104
($3500/108)100 = x = $3240.7
9%, since the 4% expected inflation rate must be added to the 5% interest rate (keeps purchasing power of principal plus interest constant)
3%, since the 2% expected deflation rate must be subtracted from the 5% interest rate (same reason)
Larry is willing to lend money at 9% or more
Moe is willing to borrow money at 11% or less
They can agree on any interest rate between 9% and 11% (including 9 and 11%)
Nominal
Real
Year
CPI Wage
Wage
0 214 $10/Hr $4.67
1 225 x1 $4.67
2 234 x2 $4.67
Real Wage = ($10/214)100 = $4.67
(x1/225)100 = $4.67
$4.67(225/100) = x1
x1 = $4.67(2.25) = $10.51
$4.67(234/100) = x2
x2 = $4.67(2.34) = $10.93
Nominal GNP in Year 1 = X1, CPI1 = 100
Real GNP1 = (X1/100)100 and
Real GNP2 = (2X1/200)100
So Real GNP1 = Real GNP2 (No change in Real GNP)
b. If the average level of prices has less than doubled between year 1
and year 2 what has happened to real GNP?
CPI1 = 100 and CPI2 = 150
Real GNP2 = (2X1/150)100 or X1(4/3)
So Real GNP2 > Real GNP1 (Real GNP has risen)
1 100.0 --
2 108.0 8%
3 116.6 8%
4 126.0 8%
b. If the price index in year 1 is 100 and the inflation rate is 7%, 8% and 9% in each of the next 3 years, what is the price index for each of these 3 years? Interpret your results.
1 100.0 --
2 107.0 7%
3 115.6 8%
4 126.0 9%
c. If the price index is 200 in year 1 and the inflation rate is 10%, 8%, and 6% for each of the next 3 years, what is the price index for each of these 3 years? Interpret your results.
1 200.0 --
2 220.0 10%
3 237.6 8%
4 251.9 6%
P' = P(1+Pdot) = 200(1.1) = 220
P' = 220(1.08) = 200(1.1)(1.08) = 237.6
P' = 237.6(1.06) = 220(1.08)(1.06)
= 251.9
1 200.0 --
2 184.0 -8%
3 169.3 -8%
4 155.7 -8%
P' = 200(1-0.08) = 200(.92) = 184.0
P' = 184(1-0.08) = 200(.92)2 = 169.3
P' = 169.3(1-0.08) = 184(.92)2 = 200(.92)3 = 155.7
e. If the price index for year 1 is 125 and the deflation rate is 8%, 7%, and 6% for the next 3 years, what is the price index for each of these 3 years? Interpret your results.
1 125.0 --
2 115.0 -8%
3 107.0 -7%
4 100.5 -6%
P' = 115(1-0.07) = 125(1-0.08)(1-0.07) = 107.0
P' = 107(1-0.06) = 115(1-0.06)(1-0.07)
= 100.5