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And
we have developed a simple formula to examine the same event.
Obviously there are
many ways to do this, and this particular way may not be
valid, but it will serve as an example for thought:
Event value = (((magnitude factor x 2 x months) + (area/community area x 10)) x (24 divided by the warning time in hours + prediction constant) ) x frequency in 100 years / 100
Event value = (((3 x 2 x 8) +
(8/9.5 x 10)) x (1/0.1 + 4)) x 1/100
Event value = ((48 + 8.4) x (10 +
4)) x .01
Event value = (56.4 x 14) x .01
Event value = 789.6 x .01
Event value = 7.9 (rounded to
tenths)
The result is reassuringly exact.
