Figure 2 shows predicted weight loss (95% confidence bands) in survivors and non-survivors over the first 8 years of follow-up based on a simple random effects model of age, sex, housing, and the interaction of each of these variables with follow-up time. In 1982, the number of Survivors and Non-survivors was 905 and 1395, respectively; in 1988, it was 803 and 612, respectively, in 1990, 782 and 351; and in 1994, 769 and 32, respectively. The two different trajectories of weight loss between survivors and non-survivors is striking, especially after 1985.