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Two-hour insulin (mean+ 95% CI) and plasma glucose concentrations in Pima Indians
Indications that insulin resistance may be the earliest identifiable phase in the development of Type 2 diabetes came from cross-sectional studies which examined mean insulin levels in relation to various degrees of glucose tolerance. This graph shows an inverted U shape curve, which was first described by Professor Reaven in 1969. This relationship has since been described in many different populations. Insulin levels, on average, are higher in persons with IGT than in those with normal glucose tolerance (NGT) or with diabetes. In Type 2 diabetes, insulin levels fall consistently as glucose concentration increases. Conversely , within the range of NGT, insulin levels increase with increasing glycaemia. From cross-sectional data one cannot infer that individuals progressing from NGT to diabetes will necessarily follow the inverted U shape curve. Prospective studies are needed to address this issue.

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