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What is the probability that the clinician will make a correct diagnosis? During the diagnostic process, the clinician compares the case to normal horses or to other cases. The probability of a correct diagnosis for a case, in other words for this horse, is simply 0 or 1. The horse has or does not have a particular type of colic. However, the clinician cannot tell the horse owner that the probability is 0 or 1. Clinicians give probability statements to clients; for example: there is a 60% chance that the horse has colic due to parasites. This probability statement originates from population-based data.