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  • HIV cannot cause an epidemic when transmitted through the heterosexual route (as it is the case in Africa where homosexuality and blood transfusions are rare) if there are no concurring factors.
  • Sporadic isolated cases might have arisen for extended periods of time, but they were not detected, being diagnosed as tuberculosis, diarrhea etc..
  • Knowledge about the origin and rise of the epidemic therfore lies on an analysis of the concurring factors.