WHY TRADITIONAL COSMOLOGICAL ARGUMENTS DON’T WORK;

AND A SKETCH OF A NEW ONE THAT DOES

            Bruce Reichenbach has done a masterful job of surveying traditional versions of the cosmological argument, as well as attempting to meet the standard objections to them. In  addition, he has defended his own version of the argument. I will attempt to show that his argument, along with all other traditional cosmological arguments, don’t work, and then go on to sketch a new one that does.

I. Reichenbach’s “Deductive Cosmological Argument from Contingency”

            Reichenbach’s argument has as its first premise that

1.  A contingent being (a being which, if it exists, can not-exist) exists. (p. 9)

 Because this premise can be known only via sense experience, it keeps his argument from being  completely a priori. This is not a serious matter since no one but a complete skeptic about the senses would doubt that there exists at least one contingent being, such as a chair or an apple. In the course of defending this argument, Reichenbach eventually, on p. 11, makes this existent contingent being the aggregate of all existent contingent beings, that is, the universe.

            The most controversial premise of the argument is

2. This contingent being [i.e. the universe] has a cause or explanation of its existence.

Herein appeal is made to a version of the principle of sufficient reason (hereafter PSR) or Principle of Causation (hereafter PC), which holds that for every existent contingent being there is a cause or explanation of its existence. Once this principle is granted, the rest of the argument follows in due course.

3. The cause or explanation of its [the universe’s] existence is something other than the contingent being itself.

4. What causes or explains the existence of this contingent being must be either other contingent beings or include a noncontingent (necessary) being.

5. Contingent beings alone cannot cause or explain the existence of a contingent being.

6. Therefore, what causes or explains the existence of this contingent being must include a noncontingent (necessary) being.

7. Therefore, a necessary being (a being which, if it exists, cannot not exist) exists.

            Premise 3 rests on the impossibility of something being a causa sui. This must be distinguished from an individual being a self-explainer in the sense that its existence is entailed by its essence since there is a successful ontological argument for the existence of this individual, even if we aren’t smart enough to give it. A self-explaining being satisfies PSR but not PC, since the explanation of its existence is not a causal one. Premise 4 follows from the application of the law of excluded middle to premise 3. The truth of premise 5 becomes manifest once it is realized that the contingent being in question is the universe, and thereby includes every contingent existent. Were one of these contingent existents to causally explain the existence of the universe, it would have to causally explain, among other things, its own existence; but this is not possible, since no individual can be a causa sui. Premise 5 is an obvious consequence of 4, for the reason just given. Since the universe, being itself a contingent being, must have a cause, and this cause cannot be a contingent being, it must be, or include, a necessary being. This is because every being is either contingent, necessary, or impossible; and, obviously, an impossible being cannot causally explain anything. The conclusion, 7, is an obvious logical consequence of 6.

Why Reichenbach’s Argument Does Not Work

            Three objections will be advanced against Reichenbach’s argument: (1) the nontheist opponent of the argument is within her rights to reject its PSR or PC, especially since no positive support is given for PSR or PC by the cosmological arguer; (2) the argument violates the spirit and intent of PSR in countenancing a God who has a brute, unexplained existence; and (3) there is an unclosed gap between the necessary being that the argument allegedly proves to exist and the God of traditional Western theism.

(1) This objection applies to all of the traditional cosmological arguments surveyed by Reichenbach. What they have in common is that each employs a “strong version” of PSR because it is required for every fact of a certain type that there actually is an explanation of it.1 A “weak version,” in contrast, requires only that for every fact of a certain type it is possible that there is an explanation of it. Within each of these two versions of PSR distinctions can be made between weaker and stronger versions thereof. The strongest version of the strong version of PSR requires that for every fact or true proposition, without exception, there actually is an explanation of it. Reichenbach’s version of the strong version of PSR is considerably weaker than this, for it requires only that for every proposition that reports the existence of a contingent being or the coming into existence of some being there actually is an explanation of it.2 God, as conceived of by Reichenbach, falls outside the purview of this version of PSR, since he is neither a contingent being nor comes into existence. Rather, he is a necessary being, not in the absolute, unqualified sense of necessary, but in an existentially relative sense, namely, that if he exists, then he necessarily exists in the sense that it is impossible that he either come into or go out of existence.

            Why should the nontheist opponent of Reichenbach’s argument grant his version of PSR? Although it is not the strongest version of PSR, it still is quite strong, occupying a very exalted level in one’s wish book, almost as high as that God exists. Reichenbach offers no direct argumentative support for his version of PSR, but instead implicitly shifts the onus on to his opponent to establish its falsity and, furthermore, attempts to shoot down only one effort to do so, Hume’s.3

            With what right does Reichenbach shift the onus? After all, it is he who is advancing an argument for the existence of God that crucially depends upon the acceptance of PSR, a principle that has been highly mooted throughout the history of philosophy. Thus, it would seem that the burden is on him to give positive argumentative support for it. I have not seen among the multitude of cosmological arguers, past and present, any positive argument for PSR. An example of what such an argument for PSR might look like recently was offered to me by Alexander Pruss, with a grin on his face. Nothing can exist without a sufficient reason for its existence; for then it would have no connection with existence, and thus not exist. All that this argument shows is that if a being has no sufficient reason for its existence, it has no rational connection with existence, not that it has no connection at all. It still could be connected with  existence in the sense of being a part of existence or instantiating the property of having existence.

The best that the cosmological arguer can do in support of PSR is to show that it is pragmatically rational for an inquirer to believe it, since by believing that everything has an explanation the believer becomes a more ardent and dedicated inquirer and thus is more apt to find explanations than if she did not believe this. This pragmatic sense of rational concerns the benefits that accrue to the believer of the PSR proposition, as contrasted with the cognitive or epistemic sense of rational that concerns reasons directed toward supporting the truth of the proposition believed. Since Reichenbach’s argument attempts to establish the cognitive rationality of believing that God exists, it cannot employ a premise that concerns only the pragmatic rationality of believing some proposition, such as PSR; for this would commit the fallacy of equivocation, since “rational” would be used in both the pragmatic and cognitive sense. In essence, it would be arguing that it is cognitively rational to believe a proposition p because it is pragmatically rational to believe some proposition q, from which p follows or which is needed for the deduction of p. 

Not only does Reichenbach offer no positive argumentative support for PSR and PC, what little indirect support he gives is unconvincing. His indirect support consists only in an attempt to refute Hume’s argument against PC. Simply put, Hume argued that we can conceive of an uncaused event; and, since whatever is conceivable is possible in reality, PC is false. Reichenbach’s rebuttal holds that Hume “confuses epistemic with ontological conditions.” (p. 3) To be sure, there is a distinction between what is conceivable and what could exist, the former concerning the epistemic and the latter the ontological order. Nevertheless, Reichenbach’s rebuttal is far too facile, for it fails to face the fact that our only access to the ontological order is through the epistemic order. The only way that we humans can go about determining what has the possibility of existing is by appeal to what we can conceive to be possible. Such modal intuitions concerning what is possible are fallible; they are only prima facie acceptable, since they are subject to defeat by subsequent ratiocination. They are discussion beginners, not discussion enders. What Reichenbach has failed to do is to give Hume any reason why he should not trust his prima facie modal intuition. And until such reasons are produced Hume has a right to trust it. In philosophy we must go with what we ultimately can make intelligible to ourselves at the end of the day, after we have made our best philosophical efforts.

(2) This is a variant of Schopenhauer’s objection to the cosmological argument as being like a taxicab that we hire and then dismiss when we have reached our destination. We begin by demanding, on the basis of PSR, an explanation for a certain fact but when we arrive at our desired destination, God, we dismiss PSR because we do not require an explanation for the fact that God exists. It is just this sort of argument that invites the response from the precocious child, “Yeah! And who created God!”

Reichenbach has a ready response to this taxicab objection that is based on an alleged  crucial disanalogy between his version of the cosmological argument and those versions that are a suitable target for this objection. Whereas both arguments begin with a demand to explain the existence of some contingent being, his argument, unlike the objectionable versions, terminates with a noncontingent explainer. That its existence is a brute, unexplained fact is okay, since it is not possible that there be an explanation for its existence, this being due to it being neither a contingent being nor one that could begin or cease to exist. Pace Reichenbach, it will be argued that it is possible for there to be an explanation for the existence of his God and that even if this weren’t the case there still would be a violation of the spirit and intent of PSR.

In order to understand why, pace Reichenbach, it is possible for there to be an explanation for the existence of his God, thereby making the fact that his God exists fair game for any reasonable version of PSR, his notion of God’s necessary existence must be made perspicuous. The sort of necessity that God has, we are told, must not be confused with logical or absolute necessity, terms that Reichenbach uses interchangeably, though the latter is preferable, since not all absolutely or metaphysically necessary truths can be proven by logic alone, such as that no object is larger than itself or red and green all over. At first glance, the difference between the two senses of “necessary” is that what is absolutely necessary is not relative to any world, whereas Reichenbach’s sense of necessary is. If it is true in some possible world that a being X necesssarily exists, then it is true in every possible world that X necessarily exists. In contrast what is necessary for Reichenbach is relativized to the actual world, it being possible for some being, in particular his God, necessarily to exist in the actual world but not in every other possible world. This seems to be the implication of his claim in step 7 that a necessary being is “a being which, if it exists, cannot not exist.” (p. 9) His definition of a “contingent being” as “a being which, if it exists, can not-exist” also seems to relativize modalities to the actual world.(p. 9) Whereas absolute modalities are world invariant, Reichenbach’s are relativized to the actual world. As a consequence, his sense of necessity, unlike the absolute one, is not subject to system S5’s basic axiom that if it is possible that it is necessary that p, then it is necessary that p.

Although there is this important difference between absolute and Reichenbachian necessity, it does not adequately explain what the latter is. I believe that a perspicuous account of Reichenbachian modalities will show that, appearances to the contrary, they are analyzable in terms of absolute modalities. Let us look first at his definition of a “contingent being” as “one which if it exists, can not-exist.” The first thing to be noted is that this definition has the absurd consequence that every absolutely impossible being, such as the object that is larger than itself, is a contingent being, for it is true that if the building that is larger than itself exists, then it can not-exist.” No doubt, Reichenbach would repair his definition by restricting it to absolutely possible beings. The question, then, is what his definition means by “can” when it says that an absolutely possible being “can not-exist.” It looks like the “can” of absolute possibility. Thus, his definition of a “contingent being” really says nothing more than that it is absolutely possible for such a being to exist as well as absolutely possible for it to not-exist. Reichenbach’s God, it might be added is a contingent being in this absolute sense of contingent, since it is absolutely possible that he exists and also absolutely possible that he does not exist.

            It can be shown that his existentially-relativized notion of a necessity also is analyzable in terms of absolute modalities. What is meant by "cannot not exist” in his definition of a “necessary being” as one which, “if it exists, cannot not exist”? He explains this notion in terms of not having the possibility of beginning or ceasing to exist, in which by “possibility” he would seem to mean “absolute possibility.” Thus, the claim that God is a necessary being means that it is absolutely impossible that God begin or cease to exist. Again, it turns out that one of Reichenbach’s existentially-relativized modalities is reducible to absolute ones.

Having clarified what Reichenbach means by God’s having necessary existence, it can be asked whether it is absolutely impossible that there be an explanation for the fact that Reichenbach’s God exists. There is an explanation for God’s not beginning or ceasing to exist based on it being a conceptual or metaphysical truth that God’s nature precludes his doing so. But our question concerns whether there could be an explanation for the fact that he exists at all. Reichenbach so defines his God that the explanation cannot be in terms of God’s nature, since he denies that his God necessarily exists in the absolute sense, thereby precluding the possibility of explaining his existence via an ontological argument. Although Reichenbach’s God lacks such necessary existence, is it possible for some God-like being to have such necessary existence?4 Reichenbach gives no argument against this possibility. If it is possible for there to be a such necessarily existent God—one that exists in every possible world—then it is possible that the existence of Reichenbach’s God would be explained in terms of the causal efficacy of this necessarily existent God based on what it wills. Thus, until Reichenbach produces a telling argument against the possibility of there being a necessarily existent God, he has no right to claim that it is not possible that there be an explanation for the fact that his God exists. And even if he could produce such an argument, it still would not follow that no explanation is possible for the existence of his God, since it is possible that there is an explanation for the fact that his God exists in terms of the causal efficacy of some other equally contingent being. If Reichenbach’s God is omnitemporally eternal, enduring throughout a beginningless and endless time, this second being could also be omnitemporally eternal and sustain Reichenbach’s God throughout this infinite time. Thus, it could causally explain his existence without causing him to come into existence, that is, begin to exist in time, something that is conceptually precluded in virtue of his very nature. Because the causally explaining being does not have necessary existence, its existence is yet to be explained. But this shows only that the proffered explanation is not a final one, not that it is not a complete explanation. In conclusion, Reichenbach’s claim that it is impossible for there to be an explanation for the fact that his God exists shows a lack of imagination.

Since his God is an absolutely contingent being, there should be at least the possibility of explaining his existence, just as there is for any other absolutely contingent being. That his version of PSR has the consequence that every contingent being other than his equally contingent God have an explanation makes his version of the cosmological argument a fit target for the taxicab objection. His version of PSR violates the underlying spirit and intent of the strong version of this principle, which, at a minimum, wants every absolutely contingent being to have an actual explanation for the fact that it exists. That Reichenbach’s God has the wondrous property of lacking the possibility of beginning or cease to exist is not itself sufficient grounds for making it an exception to PSR's demand that every absolutely contingent being have an actual explanation.

(3) The conclusion of Reichenbach’s argument, it will be recalled,  is:

7. Therefore, a necessary being (a being which, if it exists, cannot not exist) exists.

Reichenbach rightfully claims that the necessary being in 7 does not provide a naturalistic explanation for the existence of the universe, but then dubiously adds that “What remains is a personal explanation in terms of the intentional acts of some supernatural being with properties such as eternality and aseity.” (p. 11) This imputation of eternality, understood in the timeless sense, and aseity to this being appears to be a piece of prestidigitation of a similar ilk to St. Thomas’s terminating each of his Five Ways with the claim “et hic dicimus Deum”--and this we call God. This papers over the gap problem of how we are to establish that his unmoved mover, first cause, etc. has all of the other required divine attributes, among which are omnipotence, benevolence, and omniscience. This problem infects every traditional cosmological argument. Reichenbach does nothing toward closing the gap between the necessary being in 7 and the God of traditional Western theism. Thus, he has no justification for ending his paper with the claim that his argument, along with other cosmological arguments, “provide a justification for theistic belief,” if what is in question is traditional Western theistic belief. (p. 24) In fairness to the cosmological argument, it must be pointed out that even with an unresolved gap problem, it accomplishes something of great significance, if successful, namely establishing the existence of a quite wondrous supernatural being who is the causal explainer of the existence of the universe. To close the gap arguments are needed to show that the being who is the causal explainer of the existence of the universe has all of the other required divine perfections. Herein it will be necessary to make use of a variety of different inductive arguments based on the overall goodness of the universe, such as those from natural purpose and widespread law-like order and simplicity.

II. A Sketch of a Cosmological Argument that Works

            The following is a new argument for the existence of a being who, if not the super-deluxe God of traditional Western theism, is at least a close cousin in that it too is capable of playing the role in the lives of working theists of a being that is a suitable object of worship, adoration, love, respect, and obedience. Unlike the super-deluxe God, the God whose necessary existence is established by my argument need not  essentially  have the divine perfections of omnipotence, omniscience, and omnibenevolence. Furthermore, he need not even be contingently omnipotent and omniscient, just powerful and intelligent enough to be the supernatural designer-creator of the very complex and wondrous cosmos that in fact confronts us. Hopefully, his benevolence can be taken to be unlimited. My reasons for preferring to work with this more limited God is not just that I am able to prove his existence but not that of the super-deluxe one. It also involves, as will emerge later, the ability of the concept of a finite God to get around certain difficulties that confront the traditional conception of God as an absolutely perfect being.

The new argument that I will now sketch is not just a cosmological argument, but a cosmological cum ontological cum teleological argument. The main argument is a watered down version of the S5 modal version of the ontological argument, followed by a cosmological argument for its only controversial premise, and concluding with a collection of teleological arguments that attempt to close the gap between the absolutely necessary being whose existence is proven by the former arguments and the God of traditional Western theism.

The Main Argument

1. If it is possible that it is necessary that there exists a supernatural being who is a very powerful and intelligent designer-creator of the universe, then it is necessary that there exists a supernatural being who is a very powerful and intelligent designer-creator of the universe.

2. It is possible that it is necessary that there exists a supernatural being who is a very powerful and intelligent designer-creator of the universe.

3. It is necessary that there exists a supernatural being who is a very powerful and intelligent designer-creator of the universe.  By modus ponens from 1 and 2

Premise 1 is a substitution instance of the axiom of S5 that if it is possible that it is necessary that p, then it is necessary that p. This is a special case of the general principle that a proposition’s modal status—its being necessary, possible, or impossible—is world invariant. A being has necessary existence if and only if it is necessary that it exists. Such a being exists in every possible world.

            It might be wondered why I did not avail myself of the robust version of the S5 modal ontological argument, in which the first premise asserts that it is possible that it is necessary that there exists a being that is essentially omnipotent, omniscient, omnibenevolent, and so on for all the other essential divine perfections. Why did I not cast my Main Argument in terms of this absolutely perfect being rather than in terms of a finite God who does not have any of these omni-properties, possibly with the exception of omnibenevolence, no less have them essentially? It is not just that I am able prove the existence of my less than absolutely perfect deity but cannot do so for the superdeluxe model but rather that the latter is an impossible being. The reason is that this being, since necessarily existent, exists in every possible world and is at its greatest greatness in every one of them, since it essentially has all of its omni-perfections. But this has the absurd consequence that certain things that are possible are not possible. For example, it is possible that there exists a completely gratuitous, unjustified evil, that is, an evil that is incompatible with the existence of God. But, since the superdeluxe God exists in every possible world, in no possible world will there be such an unjustified evil, and thus it is not possible that there exists a completely gratuitous, unjustified evil.5 The danger of making God too perfect is that it makes him an impossible being and thus not perfect after all. But the danger of making God finite, as my argument does, is that it might make him too finite and thereby not a suitable object of worship, reverence, love, and obedience  

Since my main argument is a deductively valid modus ponens argument, the only way that it can fail is by having a false premise. Assuming that one is willing to grant the S5 axiom that underlies premise 1, the only possibly dubious premise is 2, and dubious it is indeed. For, whereas the biblical fool was happy to grant the possibility premise in St. Anselm’s ontological argument—that it is possible that there exists a being who essentially has all of the divine perfections—he would have to be not just a fool but a complete schmuck to grant the possibility premise, 2, of the Main Argument. For he should not give a consent that is not an informed consent, and an informed consent to 2 requires knowing what it is meant by its nested operators—it is possible that it is necessary that—namely, that it is subject to S5’s axiom. But once the fool realizes this he will withhold his consent, since he will rightly see premise 2 as begging the question against the nontheist opponent of the argument. Plainly, an argument is needed for 2, and it is the purpose of my Subsidiary Argument, which is a new version of the cosmological argument, to do just that.

The Subsidiary Argument

            My argument will make use of some technical terms that need to be clarified at the outset. A possible world is a maximal, compossible set of propositions, maximal because for every proposition either it or its negation is a member of the set and compossible because all of the propositions in the set could be true together. A contingent proposition or being is both possibly true or existent and possibly false or nonexistent. Since my concern is with establishing that the proposition that God exists is a member of the actual world—that maximal, compossible set of propositions all of whom are actually true, I will confine my attention to the actual world. There is a proper subset of the actual world consisting in all the contingent propositions in the actual world that do not report the action of a necessary being. Corresponding to this proper subset is the Big Conjunctive Fact that has as its conjuncts the members in this proper subset. In order to avoid the absurdity that the Big Conjunctive Fact is one of its own conjuncts, given that the Big Conjunctive Fact is itself a contingent proposition that does not report the action of a necessary being, it must be forbidden for the Big Conjunctive Fact to contain a conjunct that is truth-functionally equivalent to a simpler one, as for example the conjuncts p and (p and p), or p and (p or p). The universe or cosmos is comprised of all the contingent beings and the events in which they participate that are referred to and described by the propositions in the Big Conjunctive Fact. It is the universe that renders these propositions true, serving as their real-life verifiers.

            The general strategy of my of my argument is to adopt the following weak version of PSR:

PSRw. For every true proposition, p, it is possible that there is an explanation for p.

and then show that the only possible explanation of the actual world’s Big Conjunctive Fact is in terms of the creative actions of a necessary supernatural being who is possessed of very great power and intelligence. That it is possible that there is an explanation of the Big Conjunctive Fact in terms of the causal efficacy of such a necessary being entails that it is possible that it is necessary that there exists such a being, which is a stylistic variant of the proposition that is to be proven:

2. It is possible that it is necessary that there exists a supernatural being who is a very powerful and intelligent designer-creator of the universe.

By being able to make do with a weak version of PSR my new cosmological argument has a distinct advantage over past cosmological arguments in that it requires only the possibility, not the actuality of an explanation for every fact.6 Thus, it presents a less vulnerable target to its opponent, exacting a greater price for rejecting its version of PSR. The principle of Minimal Ordinance enjoins us to make use of the weakest premises possible for establishing some conclusion, since thereby we render our premises less vulnerable to challenge.

            There is, however, an ambiguity in PSRw between a weak and a strong version that must be faced and resolved at the outset. The ambiguity concerns whether a proposition that is a possible explainer of a proposition must be a member of the same world as it is. The weak version of PSRw holds that

PSRww. For any possible world w and any proposition p, if p is a member of w, then it is possible that there is a world w1 and a proposition q such that q is a member of w1 and q explains p in w.

In which w need not be identical with w1. The strong version holds that

PSRws. For any possible world w and any proposition p, if p is a member of w, then it is possible that there is a proposition q such that q is a member of w and q explains p in w.

It will turn out that my argument requires the adoption of PSRws. But this stronger version of the weak version of PSR still is considerably weaker than any strong version of PSR, thereby giving my cosmological argument an important advantage over all those cosmological arguments that require a strong version of PSR.

            With these preliminaries out of the way, my argument can now be given. The actual world, which will be called a, is a set of propositions, namely all the propositions that would be true were a to be actualized, which we are assuming actually to be the case. Let us give the name “p” to the Big Conjunctive Fact that has as a conjunct every contingent proposition in a that does not report the action of a necessary being. Thus, it is true ex hypothesis that

4. p is the Big Conjunctive Fact for a. 

From 4 it follows, in accordance with PSRws, that

5. It is possible that there is a proposition q such that q is a member of a and q explains p in a.

Surprisingly, from 5 it can be deduced that

6. There is a proposition q such that it is possible that q is a member of a and q explains p in a.

I say surprisingly because, in general, it is fallacious to reverse the order of 5’s modal operators, that is, to deduce that there is an X such that it is possible that X is F from the proposition that it is possible that there exists an X who is F. For example, it could be possible that there is someone who flies to Venus without it being true that there exists someone who possibly flies to Venus, since the former proposition, unlike the latter, could be true even if there never exists such an individual. The reason why it is not fallacious to deduce 6 from 5 is because propositions, like other abstract entities such as properties and numbers, enjoy necessary existence, existing in every possible world. Thus, if it is possible that proposition p exists (i.e., the proposition that p exists is a member of some possible world), then proposition p exists (i.e., the proposition that p exists is a member of the actual world).

            It might be objected that the possible proposition, q, that is the explainer of p in a need not be a member of a, as is allowed by PSRww; for, since q is possible, it is possible that q is a member of a, even if it isn’t. This objection confounds

(a) The proposition that it is possible that q is a member of a.

with

(b) It is possible that proposition q is a member of a.

Proposition (a) is true in virtue of the fact that a proposition’s modal status is world invariant; thus, if p is possible in one world it is possible in every world. Proposition (b), however, is not entailed by (a), since possibly p could be a member of a given world without it being possible that p is a member of that world. This is due to the fact that a possible world is a set of propositions and that it is not possible that a set have different members than it in fact has. Its very identity is determined by its membership: Were it to have different members, it would be a different set. Therefore, unless q actually is a member of a, it is not possible that q is a member of a, even though the proposition that it is possible that q is a member of a. Furthermore, if it is possible that q is a member of a, then q is a member of a. Thus, it follows from

7. There is a proposition q such that it is possible that q is a member of a and q explains p in a.

that

8. There is a proposition q such that q is a member of a and it is possible that q explains p in a.

We are getting close to deriving premise 2 of the Main Argument, but, before this can be done, more must be said about what sort of proposition q is.

Recall that every contingent proposition in a that does not report the action of a necessary being is a conjunct in q. Since q is a member of a and possibly explains p in a, q cannot be a contingent proposition that does not report the action of a necessary being. Were q to be such a proposition, it would be a conjunct in p and thus would have to explain, among other things, itself. But such an explanation, as Reichenbach has ably shown, would be viciously circular.

We need to know more about what sort of a proposition q is than just that it is not a contingent proposition that does not report the action of a necessary being. The open possibilities are that q is either a necessary proposition or a contingent proposition that reports the action of a necessary being. The former does not seem up to the task of explaining p, since the mere existence of a necessary being, even if it were God, could not explain why all of the contingent propositions in p are true together. In other words, it would not explain why there exists the universe that is reported by the members of p. It must be something that a necessary being does that explains p This necessary being cannot be an entity without intelligence, power, and will, such as a number or a Platonic form. The only type of explanation that we can imagine or conceive of for p, given that  p cannot have an explanation whose explanans contains at least one contingent proposition that does not report the action of a necessary being, is a personal one in terms of the intentional actions of a necessary being. Of course, it is possible that there are forms of explanation that we are not capable of imagining or conceiving of, but, as already has been argued, in philosophy we must go with what we can conceive of after we have made our best effort. Given that, relative to our powers of conception, the explanation for p must be a personal one in terms of the intentional action of a necessary being, it is reasonable to assume that this action is a contingent one, and thus q is itself a contingent proposition.

The conclusion that we must draw is that q is the proposition that there exists a necessary supernatural being who is the causal explainer of the universe, that is, p, the Big Conjunctive Fact. Given the wondrous complexity and fine tuning of the universe, this being must be a very powerful and intelligent designer-creator. Thus, q is identical with the proposition that that there exists a necessary supernatural being who is a very powerful and intelligent creator-designer of the universe, and therefore the latter can be substituted for the former.

From step

8. There is a proposition q such that q is a member of a and it is possible that q explains p in a.

it can be deduced that

9. It is possible that there exists a necessary supernatural being who is a very powerful and intelligent designer-creator of the universe.

This is because of the following three facts: any proposition that is a member of the actual world, a, is true; we are licensed to substitute for q the proposition that there exists a necessary supernatural being who is a very powerful and intelligent creator-designer of the universe, since they are one and the same proposition; and the universe is what is reported by p and thus whatever explains one explains the other. Given that if a being is necessary, then it is necessary that it exists, it can be deduced from 9, in accordance with S5’s axiom, that

2. It is possible that it is necessary that there exists a supernatural being who is a very powerful and intelligent designer-creator of the universe.  QED

            I apologize for the looseness and sloppiness of this deduction of 2. For the sake of brevity, many crucial steps have had to been omitted. For a rigorous logistical deduction of 2 (containing 32 steps!) I must refer the reader to my essay, “A New Argument for the Existence of God: One that Works, Well, Sort Of.”7

Objections

I will now consider some objections with the hope that this will help to deepen the reader’s understanding of the significance of my argument, making clear just what it does and does not accomplish.

The Explanation Is Agglomerative Objection. A crucial step in my argument was the claim that The Big Conjunctive Fact in a given world—the conjunction of all the contingent propositions in that world that do not report the action of a necessary being—is explainable only by a proposition that is not a member of the conjunction. It could be objected in the name of Hume that if the conjunction were infinite, with each conjunct being explained by another conjunct, the entire conjunction would thereby be internally explained. This assumes that explanation is agglomerative, meaning that it is closed under conjunctive introduction: If there is an explanation for p and another explanation for q, then there is an explanation for the conjunction (p and q). Pace the principle of the agglomerativity of explanation, it is possible that it is a mere coincidence that p and q are true together, even when each of them has some explanation. It also is possible that there is a common cause that explains their conjunction.8

The Taxicab Objection. A major virtue of my argument is that it, unlike past cosmological arguments, including Reichenbach’s, escapes this objection, because my explanation for The Big Conjunctive Fact is in terms of a proposition that ends the regress of explanations. The proposition that there is a very powerful and intelligent necessary being that causes the existence of the cosmos in world a (or brings it about that The Big Conjunctive Fact for a is true) is a self-explaining proposition in spite of it being a contingent proposition, provided it is added that it freely does so. The reason for this is that a necessary being is one whose existence can be explained by an ontological argument, even if we cannot give it, and that a being freely performs an action, such as causing world a’s cosmos to exist, stands in need of no further explanation, at least on the Libertarian Theory. Once it is said that the being freely does it that explains his action. Thus, the proposition that some necessary being freely does action A is a regress-of-explanation ender.

But, it might be objected: Why assume that my necessary being freely causes the cosmos to exist? The reason is that it is hard to understand how a very powerful and intelligent supernatural being who is a cosmos-causer would not act freely. What could possibly coerce or compel him to act as he does, for he determines and controls every feature of the cosmos?

            The Unintelligibility of Theistic Explanations. There are philosophers who find unintelligible the notion of a purely spiritual being freely causing there to exist a cosmos by his will because there is not the required relation of statistical relevance between his free effort of will and its effect, the resultant cosmos. I cannot in this paper do justice to this objection, since a proper response to it would have to defend the coherence of theism against this and many similar types of objections, such as that the theistic explanation for the existence of the cosmos does not enable predictions to be made and thus is no explanation.

            The general strategy for a response to the incoherency-of-theism-objection is to charge it with employing a question-begging scientistic premise, which I will call “The Legislativeness of Scientific Contexts” principle. This principle holds that the features that inform the use of a concept in a scientific context are legislative for the use of this concept in every context, any use that does not incorporate them being unintelligible. Thus, Grunbaum finds through his analysis of the use of the concept of causation in scientific contexts that it involves a relation of statistical relevance between the cause and its effect, and thereby demands on the basis of the principle of the Legislativeness of Scientific Contexts that every use of the concept of causation have this feature. Since theistic uses of the concept of causation do not, he charges them with being unintelligible. One has only to state this principle in order to defuse the unintelligibility-of-theistic-explanations objection that is based on it. For the principle is not one that is vouchsafed by science. Rather it is a metaphysical thesis that fails to find adequate argumentative support and can rightly be charged by the theist with begging the question. 

            The Nonpersonal God Objection. Phil Quinn, in correspondence, has questioned my claim that the only type of explanation that we can imagine or conceive of for the Big Conjunctive Fact, p,  in the actual world, given that it cannot have an explanation whose explanans contains at least one contingent proposition that does not report the action of a necessary being, is a personal one in terms of the intentional actions of a necessary being. He writes:

I agree that the necessary being cannot be a number or Platonic form. Nor, I would add, can it be the Plotinian One, from which the cosmos emanates of necessity. I also agree that it cannot be without power. But I think it can be without intelligence or will. I can conceive of explaining r in the following way: There is an impersonal necessary being, rather like the Brahman of advaita Hinduism, that generates the cosmos by means of blind but indeterministic mechanical causation. So I am inclined to think that even if your Subsidiary Argument, as presented in the body of the paper, goes through, it will not yield the minor premise of your Main Argument.

            There are several ways of attempting to meet this interesting objection. First, I could concede the objection and work with a more generic brand Deity who is a common denominator of the different cosmos-explaining necessary supernatural beings. My argument, then, would prove the existence of a necessary supernatural being of considerable power who is the cause, though not necessarily in a personal manner, of the cosmos. This is no mean feat; however, I don’t think I have to concede to Quinn’s objection. In the first place, the Brahman of the advaita is not a necessary being in the sense that is relevant to my argument, namely a being the concept of which explains its existence. Furthermore, it is dubious that the purported explanation of the cosmos in terms of the blind, indeterministic activity of this impersonal force is any better explanation of the existence of the cosmos than that in terms of a mystical One out of which the actual cosmos emanates. This cosmos displays considerable lawlike regularity and simplicity, as well as remarkable fine-tuning of its physical constants, all of which goes unexplained by an impersonal “explanation.”

The My-Argument-Doesn’t-Do-Enough Objection. It was the aim of my argument to escape the closing of the gap problem that has infected past cosmological arguments, the unwarranted move from a conclusion that there exists a first mover (cause, etc.) to the claim that this being is God, that is, has all of the divine perfections. But in avoiding the Scylla of the gap problem I may have wrecked on the Charybdis of proving the existence of a being who falls far too short of the divine mark.

            One aspect of the problem concerns whether my “God” is powerful and intelligent enough to be a suitable object of worship and adoration. Given the incredible complexity and wonderfulness of the actual cosmos, I am not too worried about this problem, since any being who is capable of designing and causing this cosmos is sufficiently awesome in his power and intelligence to be a suitable object of worship and adoration by the working theist. That this “God” need not be either omnipotent nor omniscient, no less essentially so, will worry the great medieval theists, who were after bigger game, but it should not render him unserviceable for the needs of ordinary believers. Furthermore, by having a finite God, it might make it a lot easier to construct plausible theodicies, such as were available to Plato in the Timaeus, but this is a direction that cannot be pursued here.

            The most serious problem, however, concerns the moral attributes of my “very powerful and intelligent necessary being that causes the existence of the cosmos in the actual world.” This issue does not concern the existence of this being but rather whether it is a suitable object of worship, adoration, and obedience. If I cannot show that this being is at least a very good being, my argument may very well have created a Frankenstein.

To begin with, my creator God is not claimed to be essentially omnibenevolent, which, I take it, is a virtue of my argument. In the first place, it saves God’s freedom, which was required to meet the taxicab objection. Most important, it results in God not being omnibenevolent in every world in which he exists. This is important for the reason given earlier, namely that since he exists in every world it would not be possible for there to be a morally unjustified evil in any world, assuming, of course that he also is essentially omnipotent and omniscient. But plainly it is possible for there to be a purely gratuitious evil. What matters to the working theist is not whether it is logically possible that God do what is morally wrong but whether he is capable of doing so in the actual world, in which capable is understood in terms of what a being has the capacity, knowledge, and opportunity to do. God could be said to be incapable in the actual world of doing wrong in the sense that he could not get himself to do so, that he is above temptation, that we can place absolute confidence in him. What he does in other possible worlds is unimportant to the working theist.

But this still leaves it open whether we have good reason to think that my “very powerful and intelligent necessary being that causes the existence of the cosmos in the actual world, a,” is benevolent in the actual world. It is here that my argument becomes quite vulnerable. To meet this problem I’ll have to marshal all of the extant theodicies for God’s permitting all of the known evils of the world. My task is made easier because my God might be finite and thus possibly could use the excuse of Plato’s Demiurge. But this raises in turn the falsifiability problem. How finite is my God? I’ll have to leave it to those more skilled in apologetics to take up the cause here. The best that I think can be done is to argue that the actual cosmos is overall a good one in that it is better that it exist than that it not exist. And, if there is an infinite regress of worlds in respect to goodness, as seems reasonable, God cannot be faulted for not actualizing the best possible world. But after all is said and done, the unqualified goodness of my God in the actual world remains unproven and must ultimately be a matter of faith.

In conclusion, I believe that my argument goes quite some way to justifying theistic belief, maybe even making it more likely than not that my finite God exists. Although my argument justifies theistic belief, it does not make it rational for someone to believe in theism on its basis alone. The reason for this is that an essential requirement for it being rational to have a theistic belief is that the believer has had some experiential awareness of God or of God’s presence in the cosmos. She need not have had a direct, nonsensory perception of God, no less a mystical experience of at least partial union with God, but at least she must have had experiences in which she perceived worldly items as being God caused. William James, and following him William Alston, have been quite right to stress the central role that religious experience plays in religious belief. By driving a wedge between justification and rationality, it is shown how it is possible for someone to accept my argument and yet be an atheist. Recall in this connection Bertrand Russell’s claim that at one time he accepted the ontological argument but still persisted in his agnosticism. If I am right, there is nothing absurd about this.9

 

Richard M. Gale

University of Pittsburgh 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

1. By “fact” is meant a true proposition, a proposition being an abstract entity that can serve as the bearer of  truth-values and modalities, as well as the object of an intentional attitude, such as believing,, and the meaning or sense of a sentence. For reasons that will not be gone into here, it is such abstract propositions that get filled in for the blank spaces in “___explains (or causes)___.”

2. “What is contingent or what comes into being requires a sufficient reason for why it exists or comes into being.” (p. 2)

3. Thus I was surprised to see Reichenbach subsequently write, on p. 18, “We have already discussed and defended 8, which is a version of the Causal Principle that underlies all cosmological arguments.” This is quite misleading, since previously he gave only a weak indirect defense of this principle.

4. And, in what follows, I will argue that this is not only possible but actually the case.

5. This is argued for at length in Chapter 5 of my book On the Nature and Existence of God (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1991).

6. The source of inspiration for my employment of the weak version of PSR is Duns Scotus, who used it in an ontological argument that went as follows. For every fact, it is possible that there is an explanation for it. Nothing can prevent God’s existence. Therefore, it is not possible that there is an explanation for the fact that God does not exist. If God were not to exist, it would follow that it both is and is not possible that there is an explanation for this fact.

7. Forthcoming in The Rationality of Theistic Belief, edited by Godehard Bruntrump, on Kluver Academic Press.

8. This is argued for at length in Chapter 6 of my On the Nature and Existence of God. Alexander Pruss, in his excellent article, “ the Hume-Edwards Principle and the Cosmological Argument,” forthcoming in the International Journal for the Philosophy of Religion, gives additional arguments for why explanation is not agglomerative.

9. In the discussion of my argument at a conference on “The Rationality of Theistic Belief” at the Munich School of Philosophy on May 27, 1998, Uwe Meixner raised a devastating objection to my argument; but, fortunately, Alvin Plantinga was in the audience and immediately showed me a way of avoiding it. I am deeply indebted to both of these persons.