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PS 0200 American Political Process
PS 0700 Research Methods in Political Science
PS 1212 American Presidency
PS 2000 Short Course: Mathematics for Political Scientists
PS 2212 U.S. Executive Branch Politics
PS 2740 Advanced Methodology: Time Series Analysis
American Politics, Political Institutions, Political Organizations, Public
Bureaucracy, U.S. Presidential & Executive Politics, Political Economics,
Public Policy, and Quantitative Methods
“The Republicans Should Pray for Rain: Weather, Turnout, and Voting in U.S. Presidential Elections.” Journal of Politics 69 (August 2007): 649-663. (Co-authored with Brad T. Gomez and Thomas G. Hansford)
“Explaining Bureaucratic Optimism: Theory and Evidence from U.S. Federal Executive Agency Macroeconomic Forecasts.” American Political Science Review 101 (February 2007): 129-142. (Co-authored with J. Kevin Corder)
“Political Appointments, Civil Service Systems, and Bureaucratic Competence: Organizational Balancing and Executive Branch Revenue Forecasts in the American States.” American Journal of Political Science 50 (July 2006): 770-787. (Co-authored with David E. Lewis and James W. Douglas)
“Beyond the Norm: Cognitive Biases and the Behavioral Underpinnings of U.S. Federal Agency Macroeconomic Forecasts.” Rationality & Society 18 (May 2006): 157-191.
“Does Agency Competition Improve the Quality of Policy Analysis? Evidence from OMB and CBO Current Year Fiscal Projections.” Journal of Policy Analysis & Management 25 (Winter 2006): 53-74. (Co-authored with James W. Douglas)
Adverse Selection, Political Parties, and Policy Delegation in the American Federal System, Journal of Law, Economics, and Organization 21 (October 2005): 359-387. (Co-authored with Ann O'M. Bowman)
Electoral Incentives, Political Business Cycles, and Macroeconomic Performance: Empirical Evidence from Postwar U.S. Personal Income Growth, British Journal of Political Science 35 (January 2005): 77-101.
Politics, Policy, and Organizations: Frontiers in the Scientific Study of Bureaucracy. [2003 Hardcover Edition, 2005 Paperback Edition]. Ann Arbor, Michigan: University of Michigan Press. (Co-Editor: Kenneth J. Meier)
Coping with Uncertainty: Analyzing Risk Propensities of SEC Budgetary Decisions, 1949-1997, American Political Science Review 97 (February 2003): 171-188.
Separated Powers and Institutional Growth in the Presidential and Congressional Branches: Distinguishing Between Short-Run versus Long-Run Dynamics, Political Research Quarterly 55 (March 2002) 27-57.
Partisan and Ideological Sources of Fiscal Deficits in the United States, American Journal of Political Science 44 (July 2000): 541-559.
Testing for the Strong Form of Rational Expectations with Heterogeneously Informed Agents, Political Analysis 8 (Summer 2000): 285-305.
Opportunity, Constraints, and the Development of the Institutional Presidency: The Case of Executive Order Issuance, 1939-1996, Journal of Politics 62 (February 2000): 88-114. (Co-authored with Jeffrey E. Cohen)
A Two-Way Street: The Institutional Dynamics of the Modern Administrative
State. [1999 Hardcover Edition]. Pittsburgh, PA: University of Pittsburgh
Press.
Voters, Information Heterogeneity, and the Dynamics of Aggregate
Economic Expectations." American Journal of Political Science
41 (October 1997): 1170-1200.
Policy Preference Formation and Subsystem Behaviour: The Case of Commercial Bank Regulation, British Journal of Political Science 27 (October 1997): 525-550.
The Institutional Dynamics of Policy Administration: Bureaucratic Influence over Securities Regulation, American Journal of Political Science 40 (November 1996): 1083-1121.
Federal Reserve Policy Decision Making: Political and Bureaucratic
Influences, American Journal of Political Science 38 (February
1994): 124-144.
Editorial Board Member, Journal of Politics (2005 - 2006)
Editorial Board Member, Political Analysis (2003 - 2007)
Editorial Board Member, Journal of Public Administration Research and Theory (2002 - Present)
President, Midwest Public Administration Caucus (2007-2008)
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