NFL Win Probabilities based on ratings obtained from preseason total wins betting lines Method: https://412sportsanalytics.wordpress.com/2017/09/04/pre-season-nfl-ratings-based-on-vegas-total-win-lines/ Home Away HomeWinProb AwayWinProb New England Patriots Kansas City Chiefs 0.760681141157 0.239318858843 Buffalo Bills New York Jets 0.688285199286 0.311714800714 Chicago Bears Atlanta Falcons 0.300235837995 0.699764162005 Cincinnati Bengals Baltimore Ravens 0.528904962062 0.471095037938 Cleveland Browns Pittsburgh Steelers 0.199233482081 0.800766517919 Detroit Lions Arizona Cardinals 0.586368612499 0.413631387501 Houston Texans Jacksonville Jaguars 0.738100234941 0.261899765059 Miami Dolphins Tampa Bay Buccaneers 0.518535454215 0.481464545785 Tennessee Titans Oakland Raiders 0.397959376118 0.602040623882 Washington Redskins Philadelphia Eagles 0.547918503602 0.452081496398 Los Angeles Rams Indianapolis Colts 0.361954436593 0.638045563407 Green Bay Packers Seattle Seahawks 0.580744090914 0.419255909086 San Francisco 49ers Carolina Panthers 0.284183770191 0.715816229809 Dallas Cowboys New York Giants 0.609680760108 0.390319239892 Minnesota Vikings New Orleans Saints 0.582198461458 0.417801538542 Denver Broncos Los Angeles Chargers 0.651259006196 0.348740993804 Cincinnati Bengals Houston Texans 0.570384711979 0.429615288021 Carolina Panthers Buffalo Bills 0.684302178593 0.315697821407 Indianapolis Colts Arizona Cardinals 0.624182484083 0.375817515917 Jacksonville Jaguars Tennessee Titans 0.399835889328 0.600164110672 Kansas City Chiefs Philadelphia Eagles 0.66665733777 0.33334266223 New Orleans Saints New England Patriots 0.263836253718 0.736163746282 Pittsburgh Steelers Minnesota Vikings 0.699218937582 0.300781062418 Baltimore Ravens Cleveland Browns 0.820915751161 0.179084248839 Tampa Bay Buccaneers Chicago Bears 0.758087694799 0.241912305201 Oakland Raiders New York Jets 0.873281855489 0.126718144511 Los Angeles Chargers Miami Dolphins 0.560600048942 0.439399951058 Denver Broncos Dallas Cowboys 0.527931064994 0.472068935006 Los Angeles Rams Washington Redskins 0.387158873419 0.612841126581 Seattle Seahawks San Francisco 49ers 0.873870587402 0.126129412598 Atlanta Falcons Green Bay Packers 0.551668604978 0.448331395022 New York Giants Detroit Lions 0.663300770244 0.336699229756 San Francisco 49ers Los Angeles Rams 0.495700468252 0.504299531748 Jacksonville Jaguars Baltimore Ravens 0.345496402211 0.654503597789 Buffalo Bills Denver Broncos 0.399190536898 0.600809463102 Carolina Panthers New Orleans Saints 0.591166170619 0.408833829381 Chicago Bears Pittsburgh Steelers 0.263694799224 0.736305200776 Indianapolis Colts Cleveland Browns 0.796291226505 0.203708773495 Detroit Lions Atlanta Falcons 0.429233252553 0.570766747447 Minnesota Vikings Tampa Bay Buccaneers 0.53956232356 0.46043767644 New England Patriots Houston Texans 0.83315481909 0.16684518091 New York Jets Miami Dolphins 0.352849131823 0.647150868177 Philadelphia Eagles New York Giants 0.502837120045 0.497162879955 Tennessee Titans Seattle Seahawks 0.442540895202 0.557459104798 Green Bay Packers Cincinnati Bengals 0.683283871119 0.316716128881 Los Angeles Chargers Kansas City Chiefs 0.447037257711 0.552962742289 Washington Redskins Oakland Raiders 0.392880974334 0.607119025666 Arizona Cardinals Dallas Cowboys 0.409615630545 0.590384369455 Green Bay Packers Chicago Bears 0.81887484118 0.18112515882 Miami Dolphins New Orleans Saints 0.56145846027 0.43854153973 Atlanta Falcons Buffalo Bills 0.757475997575 0.242524002425 Cleveland Browns Cincinnati Bengals 0.317701210646 0.682298789354 Dallas Cowboys Los Angeles Rams 0.830197080815 0.169802919185 Houston Texans Tennessee Titans 0.583678795896 0.416321204104 Minnesota Vikings Detroit Lions 0.610907870233 0.389092129767 New England Patriots Carolina Panthers 0.820758225019 0.179241774981 New York Jets Jacksonville Jaguars 0.523928948387 0.476071051613 Baltimore Ravens Pittsburgh Steelers 0.460999680253 0.539000319747 Arizona Cardinals San Francisco 49ers 0.769496003967 0.230503996033 Los Angeles Chargers Philadelphia Eagles 0.549792671458 0.450207328542 Tampa Bay Buccaneers New York Giants 0.542087451847 0.457912548153 Denver Broncos Oakland Raiders 0.479751739298 0.520248260702 Seattle Seahawks Indianapolis Colts 0.668594496331 0.331405503669 Kansas City Chiefs Washington Redskins 0.685349620448 0.314650379552 Tampa Bay Buccaneers New England Patriots 0.30035728812 0.69964271188 Cincinnati Bengals Buffalo Bills 0.668673942951 0.331326057049 Cleveland Browns New York Jets 0.543115471227 0.456884528773 Indianapolis Colts San Francisco 49ers 0.810911024722 0.189088975278 Detroit Lions Carolina Panthers 0.515999921849 0.484000078151 Miami Dolphins Tennessee Titans 0.572948081426 0.427051918574 New York Giants Los Angeles Chargers 0.649878389794 0.350121610206 Philadelphia Eagles Arizona Cardinals 0.6186686311 0.3813313689 Pittsburgh Steelers Jacksonville Jaguars 0.844389907304 0.155610092696 Oakland Raiders Baltimore Ravens 0.677142810634 0.322857189366 Los Angeles Rams Seattle Seahawks 0.268663143029 0.731336856971 Dallas Cowboys Green Bay Packers 0.553411690694 0.446588309306 Houston Texans Kansas City Chiefs 0.465813411871 0.534186588129 Chicago Bears Minnesota Vikings 0.388874296041 0.611125703959 Carolina Panthers Philadelphia Eagles 0.587429826673 0.412570173327 Atlanta Falcons Miami Dolphins 0.679655199868 0.320344800132 Houston Texans Cleveland Browns 0.792184511954 0.207815488046 Minnesota Vikings Green Bay Packers 0.4555742808 0.5444257192 New Orleans Saints Detroit Lions 0.597382947484 0.402617052516 New York Jets New England Patriots 0.115193557388 0.884806442612 Baltimore Ravens Chicago Bears 0.760059536354 0.239940463646 Washington Redskins San Francisco 49ers 0.792392469103 0.207607530897 Arizona Cardinals Tampa Bay Buccaneers 0.477774147476 0.522225852524 Jacksonville Jaguars Los Angeles Rams 0.586503226516 0.413496773484 Kansas City Chiefs Pittsburgh Steelers 0.522114113007 0.477885886993 Oakland Raiders Los Angeles Chargers 0.729702082436 0.270297917564 Denver Broncos New York Giants 0.569909350446 0.430090649554 Tennessee Titans Indianapolis Colts 0.547398541469 0.452601458531 Oakland Raiders Kansas City Chiefs 0.620330200749 0.379669799251 Buffalo Bills Tampa Bay Buccaneers 0.42661705523 0.57338294477 Chicago Bears Carolina Panthers 0.380076779444 0.619923220556 Cleveland Browns Tennessee Titans 0.333489880023 0.666510119977 Indianapolis Colts Jacksonville Jaguars 0.742774206186 0.257225793814 Green Bay Packers New Orleans Saints 0.688472275058 0.311527724942 Miami Dolphins New York Jets 0.764996386367 0.235003613633 Minnesota Vikings Baltimore Ravens 0.537048816169 0.462951183831 Pittsburgh Steelers Cincinnati Bengals 0.706310952168 0.293689047832 Los Angeles Rams Arizona Cardinals 0.417158098624 0.582841901376 San Francisco 49ers Dallas Cowboys 0.213799170274 0.786200829726 New York Giants Seattle Seahawks 0.523761329362 0.476238670638 Los Angeles Chargers Denver Broncos 0.482494381818 0.517505618182 New England Patriots Atlanta Falcons 0.757978671469 0.242021328531 Philadelphia Eagles Washington Redskins 0.588786076312 0.411213923688 Baltimore Ravens Miami Dolphins 0.619694678841 0.380305321159 Cleveland Browns Minnesota Vikings 0.310433940481 0.689566059519 Buffalo Bills Oakland Raiders 0.316099753855 0.683900246145 Cincinnati Bengals Indianapolis Colts 0.564713757605 0.435286242395 New Orleans Saints Chicago Bears 0.723066234162 0.276933765838 New England Patriots Los Angeles Chargers 0.844722798367 0.155277201633 New York Jets Atlanta Falcons 0.250804341009 0.749195658991 Philadelphia Eagles San Francisco 49ers 0.806963311445 0.193036688555 Tampa Bay Buccaneers Carolina Panthers 0.588026576229 0.411973423771 Seattle Seahawks Houston Texans 0.673809810498 0.326190189502 Washington Redskins Dallas Cowboys 0.439999196432 0.560000803568 Detroit Lions Pittsburgh Steelers 0.387209277597 0.612790722403 Kansas City Chiefs Denver Broncos 0.60321203532 0.39678796468 New York Jets Buffalo Bills 0.441894401166 0.558105598834 Carolina Panthers Atlanta Falcons 0.481643407836 0.518356592164 Houston Texans Indianapolis Colts 0.562768231975 0.437231768025 Jacksonville Jaguars Cincinnati Bengals 0.382999724207 0.617000275793 New Orleans Saints Tampa Bay Buccaneers 0.525604082754 0.474395917246 New York Giants Los Angeles Rams 0.802023479241 0.197976520759 Tennessee Titans Baltimore Ravens 0.511439133404 0.488560866596 Philadelphia Eagles Denver Broncos 0.501349250339 0.498650749661 Seattle Seahawks Washington Redskins 0.692357286252 0.307642713748 San Francisco 49ers Arizona Cardinals 0.34739594253 0.65260405747 Dallas Cowboys Kansas City Chiefs 0.57358209353 0.42641790647 Miami Dolphins Oakland Raiders 0.402391592244 0.597608407756 Green Bay Packers Detroit Lions 0.714197650332 0.285802349668 Arizona Cardinals Seattle Seahawks 0.406996386684 0.593003613316 Buffalo Bills New Orleans Saints 0.469389822493 0.530610177507 Chicago Bears Green Bay Packers 0.285609227606 0.714390772394 Indianapolis Colts Pittsburgh Steelers 0.425309224563 0.574690775437 Detroit Lions Cleveland Browns 0.767358709483 0.232641290517 Jacksonville Jaguars Los Angeles Chargers 0.403104395833 0.596895604167 Tennessee Titans Cincinnati Bengals 0.551152580089 0.448847419911 Tampa Bay Buccaneers New York Jets 0.801893175819 0.198106824181 Washington Redskins Minnesota Vikings 0.537804628826 0.462195371174 Los Angeles Rams Houston Texans 0.367373725649 0.632626274351 Atlanta Falcons Dallas Cowboys 0.566710815995 0.433289184005 San Francisco 49ers New York Giants 0.245967386577 0.754032613423 Denver Broncos New England Patriots 0.325301782771 0.674698217229 Carolina Panthers Miami Dolphins 0.598045618496 0.401954381504 Pittsburgh Steelers Tennessee Titans 0.721223277185 0.278776722815 Chicago Bears Detroit Lions 0.431332801844 0.568667198156 Cleveland Browns Jacksonville Jaguars 0.498359915749 0.501640084251 Green Bay Packers Baltimore Ravens 0.64691513698 0.35308486302 Houston Texans Arizona Cardinals 0.618697537558 0.381302462442 Minnesota Vikings Los Angeles Rams 0.760859070004 0.239140929996 New Orleans Saints Washington Redskins 0.585044635015 0.414955364985 New York Giants Kansas City Chiefs 0.531653929389 0.468346070611 Los Angeles Chargers Buffalo Bills 0.649496872051 0.350503127949 Denver Broncos Cincinnati Bengals 0.63172659798 0.36827340202 Oakland Raiders New England Patriots 0.409149470419 0.590850529581 Dallas Cowboys Philadelphia Eagles 0.671402504978 0.328597495022 Seattle Seahawks Atlanta Falcons 0.572822940208 0.427177059792 Detroit Lions Minnesota Vikings 0.525173104324 0.474826895676 Dallas Cowboys Los Angeles Chargers 0.68830992302 0.31169007698 Washington Redskins New York Giants 0.482094320022 0.517905679978 Atlanta Falcons Tampa Bay Buccaneers 0.633372649457 0.366627350543 Cincinnati Bengals Cleveland Browns 0.793596608145 0.206403391855 Indianapolis Colts Tennessee Titans 0.589296680804 0.410703319196 Kansas City Chiefs Buffalo Bills 0.754754021968 0.245245978032 New England Patriots Miami Dolphins 0.839921754405 0.160078245595 New York Jets Carolina Panthers 0.325088051433 0.674911948567 Philadelphia Eagles Chicago Bears 0.726273812671 0.273726187329 Los Angeles Rams New Orleans Saints 0.371027207042 0.628972792958 San Francisco 49ers Seattle Seahawks 0.211840183823 0.788159816177 Arizona Cardinals Jacksonville Jaguars 0.694221243025 0.305778756975 Oakland Raiders Denver Broncos 0.653801502988 0.346198497012 Pittsburgh Steelers Green Bay Packers 0.594118281144 0.405881718856 Baltimore Ravens Houston Texans 0.609205919512 0.390794080488 Dallas Cowboys Washington Redskins 0.689981827969 0.310018172031 Atlanta Falcons Minnesota Vikings 0.660519707139 0.339480292861 Buffalo Bills New England Patriots 0.18921831412 0.81078168588 Chicago Bears San Francisco 49ers 0.669158964523 0.330841035477 Green Bay Packers Tampa Bay Buccaneers 0.649264252122 0.350735747878 Jacksonville Jaguars Indianapolis Colts 0.379385811303 0.620614188697 Miami Dolphins Denver Broncos 0.490437828694 0.509562171306 New Orleans Saints Carolina Panthers 0.545492779705 0.454507220295 New York Jets Kansas City Chiefs 0.253575386046 0.746424613954 Tennessee Titans Houston Texans 0.553106465419 0.446893534581 Baltimore Ravens Detroit Lions 0.64098702953 0.35901297047 Los Angeles Chargers Cleveland Browns 0.778361814972 0.221638185028 Arizona Cardinals Los Angeles Rams 0.710209459082 0.289790540918 Oakland Raiders New York Giants 0.655176385664 0.344823614336 Seattle Seahawks Philadelphia Eagles 0.673837146404 0.326162853596 Cincinnati Bengals Pittsburgh Steelers 0.421596145601 0.578403854399 Atlanta Falcons New Orleans Saints 0.673280211357 0.326719788643 Buffalo Bills Indianapolis Colts 0.459811221933 0.540188778067 Carolina Panthers Minnesota Vikings 0.577475248536 0.422524751464 Cincinnati Bengals Chicago Bears 0.727941069729 0.272058930271 Cleveland Browns Green Bay Packers 0.218100492928 0.781899507072 Houston Texans San Francisco 49ers 0.80698409173 0.19301590827 Jacksonville Jaguars Seattle Seahawks 0.28409611103 0.71590388897 Kansas City Chiefs Oakland Raiders 0.51534729525 0.48465270475 Tampa Bay Buccaneers Detroit Lions 0.638618557286 0.361381442714 Arizona Cardinals Tennessee Titans 0.532543748999 0.467456251001 Denver Broncos New York Jets 0.820913555092 0.179086444908 Los Angeles Chargers Washington Redskins 0.570303607357 0.429696392643 New York Giants Dallas Cowboys 0.526446631587 0.473553368413 Los Angeles Rams Philadelphia Eagles 0.367402293688 0.632597706312 Pittsburgh Steelers Baltimore Ravens 0.671024227366 0.328975772634 Miami Dolphins New England Patriots 0.258069411513 0.741930588487 Indianapolis Colts Denver Broncos 0.507132810698 0.492867189302 Detroit Lions Chicago Bears 0.697704423183 0.302295576817 Kansas City Chiefs Los Angeles Chargers 0.683667027816 0.316332972184 Buffalo Bills Miami Dolphins 0.476452972091 0.523547027909 Carolina Panthers Green Bay Packers 0.464713815477 0.535286184523 Cleveland Browns Baltimore Ravens 0.282972735189 0.717027264811 Jacksonville Jaguars Houston Texans 0.384886466745 0.615113533255 Minnesota Vikings Cincinnati Bengals 0.576480492614 0.423519507386 New Orleans Saints New York Jets 0.770414653698 0.229585346302 New York Giants Philadelphia Eagles 0.632211362102 0.367788637898 Washington Redskins Arizona Cardinals 0.598697187923 0.401302812077 Seattle Seahawks Los Angeles Rams 0.831897019526 0.168102980474 Pittsburgh Steelers New England Patriots 0.402564700637 0.597435299363 San Francisco 49ers Tennessee Titans 0.314509348487 0.685490651513 Oakland Raiders Dallas Cowboys 0.615338501383 0.384661498617 Tampa Bay Buccaneers Atlanta Falcons 0.501607061853 0.498392938147 Baltimore Ravens Indianapolis Colts 0.603658285329 0.396341714671 Green Bay Packers Minnesota Vikings 0.675955111719 0.324044888281 Carolina Panthers Tampa Bay Buccaneers 0.54869148752 0.45130851248 Chicago Bears Cleveland Browns 0.649799898489 0.350200101511 Cincinnati Bengals Detroit Lions 0.603031648228 0.396968351772 Kansas City Chiefs Miami Dolphins 0.676543472394 0.323456527606 New Orleans Saints Atlanta Falcons 0.458520619349 0.541479380651 New England Patriots Buffalo Bills 0.88982690603 0.11017309397 New York Jets Los Angeles Chargers 0.360277688658 0.639722311342 Tennessee Titans Los Angeles Rams 0.740453697404 0.259546302596 Washington Redskins Denver Broncos 0.480608055771 0.519391944229 San Francisco 49ers Jacksonville Jaguars 0.477303344569 0.522696655431 Arizona Cardinals New York Giants 0.451267148221 0.548732851779 Dallas Cowboys Seattle Seahawks 0.565791423285 0.434208576715 Houston Texans Pittsburgh Steelers 0.41966454355 0.58033545645 Philadelphia Eagles Oakland Raiders 0.413010192075 0.586989807925 Atlanta Falcons Carolina Panthers 0.652048525661 0.347951474339 Indianapolis Colts Houston Texans 0.574105443434 0.425894556566 Detroit Lions Green Bay Packers 0.412599876566 0.587400123434 Miami Dolphins Buffalo Bills 0.656851556804 0.343148443196 Minnesota Vikings Chicago Bears 0.734697191186 0.265302808814 New England Patriots New York Jets 0.938728826305 0.0612711736952 New York Giants Washington Redskins 0.651630249262 0.348369750738 Tennessee Titans Jacksonville Jaguars 0.725280002697 0.274719997303 Philadelphia Eagles Dallas Cowboys 0.460584370053 0.539415629947 Pittsburgh Steelers Cleveland Browns 0.882817529703 0.117182470297 Baltimore Ravens Cincinnati Bengals 0.607308197672 0.392691802328 Tampa Bay Buccaneers New Orleans Saints 0.610492751494 0.389507248506 Denver Broncos Kansas City Chiefs 0.533136911311 0.466863088689 Los Angeles Rams San Francisco 49ers 0.638931846623 0.361068153377 Los Angeles Chargers Oakland Raiders 0.39470199862 0.60529800138 Seattle Seahawks Arizona Cardinals 0.719078376705 0.280921623295