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Inferences on a New Prediction (Yh,new)

Original Model: Yi = b0 + b1Xi + ei,where ei ~ N(0,s2) and cov(ei,ej)=0 for i¹ j.

Prediction Interval for Yh,new (a future value corresponding to some given xh)

A point predictor for Yh,new is Yh= b0+b1xh, and Yh,new is a Normal r.v.

However, its variance is 

Thus a 100(1-a )% prediction interval for Yh,new is given by



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Jayant Rajgopal