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Laplace (1810): Any sum or mean will - if the number of trials is large - be approximately normally distributed.
More precisely,
Suppose we have a random sample X1, X2,...,
Xn from some underlying population with mean m
and variance s2. As long as s
<¥ , for sufficiently large n,
Linear Combinations: Suppose Xi has mean mi
and S.D. si, i=1,2,...,n
E[a1X1+a2X2+...+anXn)
= a1m1+a2m2+...+anmn
Var[a1X1+a2X2+...+anXn)
= åiåjaiajCov(Xi,Xj)
= a12s12+a22s22+...+an2sn2
if
all Xi are independent of each other.
(NOTE: Cov(Xi,Xi)=Var(Xi)=si2)
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