HPS
2682 Phil
2690 Name:_________________________________

Theories of Confirmation

Spring
2010 Credit:____ Audit:____

Principal Accounts of Induction |

Inductive Generalization |

__ Enumerative Induction |

__ Hempel's Satisfaction Criterion |

__ Mill's Methods |

__ Glymour's bootstrap |

__ Demonstrative Induction (Newtonian deduction from the phenomena) |

Hypothetical Induction |

__ Exclusionary accounts. Error statistical methods. |

__ Simplicity (Akaike, BIC) |

__ Abduction: Inference to the best explanation |

__ Inference to a common cause |

__ Reliabilism |

Probabilistic Induction |

__ A Bayes' primer |

__ Bayesian success stories |

__ Subjective Bayesianism (big topic) |

__ Objective Bayesianism (big topic) |

__ Probability disassembled |

__ Extended Bayesianism (convex sets, interval valued probabilities, improper priors, Jeffrey's conditionalization) |

Arguing for Bayesianism |

__ Dutch book arguments |

__ Function theoretic representation theorems |

__ Decision theoretic representation theorems |

__ Loss functions |

Arguing against Bayesianism |

__ Not the universal theory |

__ Problem of old evidence |

Problems of Induction |

__ The Problem of induction (aka Hume's problem) |

__ Grue |

__ Underdetermination |

__ Hempel's Raven |

__ Observationally indistinguishable spacetimes |

More Bayesian Topics |

__ Likelihoodism (Bayes without priors) |

__ Limit theorems |

__ Measures of coherence (Bovens and Hartmann) |

__ Measures of incremental support |

__ The conjunction fallacy (Linda the bank teller) |

__ Measures of explanatory power |

Gotcha's in Probability |

__ The exchange paradox |

__ The doomsday argument |

__ Sleeping beauty |

__ De Finetti's lottery |

Evidential Case Studies |

__ Evidence for evolution |

__ Newton's argument for universal gravitation |

__ The electron |

___Your suggestions? |

More |

__ Material Theory of Induction |

__ Ranking theory |

__ Hume's argument against miracles |

__ Confirmation theory and the learning theoretic paradigm |

Your Suggestions |

___: ____________________________________ |