Some useful properties of probabilistic knowledge representations from the point of view of intelligent systems



Authors:
Marek J. Druzdzel
University of Pittsburgh
School of Information Sciences
e-mail: marek@sis.pitt.edu

Abstract:
Although probabilistic knowledge representations and probabilistic reasoning have by now secured their position in intelligent systems research, it is not uncommon to encounter misunderstanding of their foundations and lack of appreciation for their strengths. This paper discusses five issues related to intelligent systems research and shows how they are addressed by the probabilistic knowledge representations.

Directed probabilistic graphs capture essential qualitative properties of a domain, along with its causal structure. Concepts such as relevance and conflicting evidence have a natural, formally sound meaning in probabilistic models. Probabilistic schemes support sound reasoning at a variety of levels ranging from purely quantitative to purely qualitative levels. Probabilistic knowledge representations provide insight into the foundations of logic-based schemes for reasoning under uncertainty, showing their difficulties in highly uncertain domains. Finally, probabilistic knowledge representations support automatic generation of understandable explanations of inference for the sake of user interfaces to intelligent systems.


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marek@sis.pitt.edu / Last update: 14 May 2005